Simon Munzert

data science and public policy. politics. experiments. surveys. and all that.

Books

Simon Munzert. 2015. Contributions to the Measurement of Public Opinion in Subpopulations. Konstanz: Universität Konstanz. PhD Thesis.

Simon Munzert, Christian Rubba, Peter Meißner, and Dominic Nyhuis. 2014. Automated Data Collection with R. A Practical Guide to Web Scraping and Text Mining. Chichester: John Wiley & Sons.
Accompanying website: http://r-datacollection.com/
Review in Journal of Statistical Software

Articles in peer-reviewed journals

Simon Munzert, Sebastian Ramirez-Ruiz, Pablo Barberá, Andrew Guess, JungHwan Yang. 2023. "Who's Cheating on Your Survey? A Detection Approach with Digital Trace Data." Political Science Research and Methods.

Simon Munzert, Sebastian Ramirez-Ruiz, Basak Çalı, Lukas Stoetzer, Anita Gohdes, Will Lowe. 2022. "Prioritization preferences for COVID-19 vaccination are consistent across five countries." Humanities and Social Sciences Communications.

Marina Romanello, Claudia Di Napoli, Paul Drummond, Carole Green, Harry Kennard, Pete Lampard, Daniel Scamman, Nigel Arnell, Sonja Ayeb-Karlsson, Lea Berrang Ford, Kristine Belesova, Kathryn Bowen, Wenjia Cai, Max Callaghan, Diarmid Campbell-Lendrum, Jonathan Chambers, Kim R van Daalen, Carole Dalin, Niheer Dasandi, Shouro Dasgupta, Michael Davies, Paula Dominguez-Salas, Robert Dubrow, Kristie L Ebi, Matthew Eckelman, Paul Ekins, Luis E Escobar, Lucien Georgeson, Hilary Graham, Samuel H Gunther, Ian Hamilton, Yun Hang, Risto Hänninen, Stella Hartinger, Kehan He, Jeremy J Hess, Shih-Che Hsu, Slava Jankin, Louis Jamart, Ollie Jay, Ilan Kelman, Gregor Kiese-wetter, Patrick Kinney, Tord Kjellstrom, Dominic Kniveton, Jason K W Lee, Bruno Lem-ke, Yang Liu, Zhao Liu, Melissa Lott, Martin Lotto Batista, Rachel Lowe, Frances Mac-Guire, Maquins Odhiambo Sewe, Jaime Martinez-Urtaza, Mark Maslin, Lucy McAllister, Alice McGushin, Celia McMichael, Zhifu Mi, James Milner, Kelton Minor, Jan C Minx, Nahid Mohajeri, Maziar Moradi-Lakeh, Karyn Morrissey, Simon Munzert, Kris A Murray, Tara Neville, Maria Nilsson, Nick Obradovich, Megan B O'Hare, Tadj Oreszczyn, Matthias Otto, Fereidoon Owfi, Olivia Pearman, Mahnaz Rabbaniha, Elizabeth J Z Robinson, Joacim Rocklöv, Renee N Salas, Jan C Semenza, Jodi D Sherman, Liuhua Shi, Joy Shu-make-Guillemot, Grant Silbert, Mikhail Sofiev, Marco Springmann, Jennifer Stowell, Meisam Tabatabaei, Jonathon Taylor, Joaquin Triñanes, Fabian Wagner, Paul Wilkinson, Matthew Winning, Marisol Yglesias-González, Shihui Zhang, Peng Gong, Hugh Montgomery, Anthony Costello. 2022. "The 2022 report of the Lancet Countdown on health and climate change: health at the mercy of fossil fuels". Lancet 400:1619--1654.

Marc Helbling, Rahsaan Maxwell, Simon Munzert, Richard Traunmüller. 2022. "The importance of citizenship for deserving Covid-19 treatment." Humanities and Social Sciences Communications.

Lukas Stoetzer, Simon Munzert, Will Lowe, Basak Çalı, Anita Gohdes, Marc Helbling, Rahsaan Maxwell, Richard Traunmüller. 2022. "Affective partisan polarization and moral dilemmas during the COVID-19 pandemic." Political Science Research and Methods.

Marcel Neunhoeffer, Klara Müller, Thomas Gschwend, Simon Munzert, Lukas Stoetzer. 2022. "The Zweitstimme Model: A Dynamic Forecast of the 2021 German Federal Election." PS: Political Science and Politics 55(1):85--90.

Marina Romanello, Alice McGushin, Claudia Di Napoli, Paul Drummond, Nick Hughes, Louis Jamart, Harry Kennard, Pete Lampard, Baltazar Solano Rodriguez, Nigel Arnell, Sonja Ayeb-Karlsson, Kristine Belesova, Wenjia Cai, Diarmid Campbell-Lendrum, Stuart Capstick, Jonathan Chambers, Lingzhi Chu, Luisa Ciampi, Carole Dalin, Niheer Dasandi, Shouro Dasgupta, Michael Davies, Paula Dominguez-Salas, Robert Dubrow, Kristie L Ebi, Matthew Eckelman, Paul Ekins, Luis E Escobar, Lucien Georgeson, Delia Grace, Hilary Graham, Samuel H Gunther, Stella Hartinger, Kehan He, Clare Heaviside, Jeremy Hess, Shih-Che Hsu, Slava Jankin, Marcia P Jimenez, Ilan Kelman, Gregor Kiesewetter, Patrick L Kinney, Tord Kjellstrom, Dominic Kniveton, Jason K W Lee, Bruno Lemke, Yang Liu, Zhao Liu, Melissa Lott, Rachel Lowe, Jaime Martinez-Urtaza, Mark Maslin, Lucy McAllister, Celia McMichael, Zhifu Mi, James Milner, Kelton Minor, Nahid Mohajeri, Maziar Moradi-Lakeh, Karyn Morrissey, Simon Munzert, Kris A Murray, Tara Neville, Maria Nilsson, Nick Obradovich, Maquins Odhiambo Sewe, Tadj Oreszczyn, Matthias Otto, Fereidoon Owfi, Olivia Pearman, David Pencheon, Mahnaz Rabbaniha, Elizabeth Robinson, Joacim Rocklöv, Renee N Salas, Jan C Semenza, Jodi Sherman, Liuhua Shi, Marco Springmann, Meisam Tabatabaei, Jonathon Taylor, Joaquin Trinanes, Joy Shu-make-Guillemot, Bryan Vu, Fabian Wagner, Paul Wilkinson, Matthew Winning, Marisol Yglesias, Shihui Zhang, Peng Gong, Hugh Montgomery, Anthony Costello, Ian Hamilton. 2021. "The 2021 report of the Lancet Countdown on health and climate change: code red for a healthy future." Lancet 398:1619--1662.

Andrew Guess, Pablo Barberá, Simon Munzert, and JungHwan Yang. 2021. The consequences of online partisan media. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences. 118(14) e2013464118.
Replication materials on GitHub

Sascha Göbel and Simon Munzert. 2021. The Comparative Legislators Database. British Journal of Political Science.
Accompanying package legislatoR on GitHub
Preprint

Simon Munzert, Peter Selb, Anita Gohdes, Lukas Stoetzer, Will Lowe. 2021. Tracking and Promoting the Usage of a COVID-19 Contact Tracing App. Nature Human Behavior.
Supplementary materials on GitHub
Preprint

Simon Munzert and Sebastian Ramirez-Ruiz. 2021. Meta-Analysis of the Effects of Voting Advice Applications. Political Communication.
Supplementary materials on Harvard Dataverse
Preprint
Twitter thread

Simon Munzert, Andrew Guess, Pablo Barberá, JungHwan Yang. 2021. Do Online Voter Guides Empower Citizens? Evidence from a Field Experiment with Digital Trace Data. Public Opinion Quarterly.
Supplementary materials on Harvard Dataverse
Preprint
Twitter thread

Simon Munzert and Peter Selb. 2020. Can we directly survey adherence to non-pharma-ceutical interventions? Evidence from a list experiment conducted in Germany during the early Corona pandemic. Survey Research Methods. 14(2):205-209.
Twitter thread

Marcel Neunhoeffer, Thomas Gschwend, Simon Munzert, and Lukas F. Stoetzer. 2020. Ein Ansatz zur Vorhersage der Erststimmenanteile bei Bundestagswahlen. Politische Vierteljahresschrift. 61:111-130.

Nick Watts, Markus Amann, Nigel Arnell, Sonja Ayeb-Karlsson, Jessica Beagley, Kristine Belesova, Maxwell Boykoff, Peter Byass, Wenjia Cai, Diarmid Campbell-Lendrum, Stuart Capstick, Jonathan Chambers, Samantha Coleman, Carole Dalin, Meaghan Daly, Niheer Dasandi, Shouro Dasgupta, Michael Davies, Claudia Di Napoli, Paula Dominguez-Salas, Paul Drummond, Robert Dubrow, Kristie L. Ebi, Matthew Eckelman, Paul Ekins, Luis E. Escobar, Lucien Georgeson, Su Golder, Delia Grace, Hilary Graham, Paul Haggar, Ian Hamilton, Stella Hartinger, Jeremy Hess, Shih-Che Hsu, Nick Hughes, Slava Jankin Mikhaylov, Marcia P. Jimenez, Ilan Kelman, Harry Kennard, Gregor Kiesewetter, Patrick L. Kinney, Tord Kjellstrom, Dominic Kniveton, Pete Lampard, Bruno Lemke, Yang Liu, Zhao Liu, Melissa Lott, Rachel Lowe, Jaime Martinez-Urtaza, Mark Maslin, Lucy McAllister, Alice McGushin, Celia McMichael, James Milner, Maziar Moradi-Lakeh, Karyn Morrissey, Simon Munzert, Kris A. Murray, Tara Neville, Maria Nilsson, Maquins Odhiambo Sewe, Tadj Oreszczyn, Matthias Otto, Fereidoon Owfi, Olivia Pearman, David Pencheon, Ruth Quinn, Mahnaz Rabbaniha, Elizabeth Robinson, Joacim Rocklöv, Marina Romanel-lo, Jan C. Semenza, Jodi Sherman, Liuhua Shi, Marco Springmann, Meisam Tabatabaei, Jonathon Taylor, Joaquin Triñanes, Joy Shumake-Guillemot, Bryan Vu, Paul Wilkinson, Matthew Winning, Peng Gong, Hugh Montgomery, Anthony Costello. 2019. "The 2020 report of The Lancet Countdown on health and climate change: responding to converging crises." Lancet 397:129--70.

Nick Watts et al. 2019. The 2019 report of The Lancet Countdown on health and climate change: ensuring that the health of a child born today is not defined by a changing climate. Lancet. 394:1836-1378.

Lukas Stoetzer, Marcel Neunhoeffer, Thomas Gschwend, Simon Munzert, and Sebastian Sternberg. 2019. Forecasting Elections in Multi-Party Systems: A Bayesian Approach Combining Polls and Fundamentals Political Analysis. 27(2):255-262.

Peter Selb and Simon Munzert. 2018. Examining a Most Likely Case for Strong Campaign Effects: Hitler's Speeches and the Rise of the Nazi Party, 1927--1933. American Political Science Review. 112(4):1050-1066.
Supplementary materials on Harvard Dataverse
Preprint

Sascha Göbel and Simon Munzert. 2018. Political Advertising on the Wikipedia Market Place of Information. Social Science Computer Review. 36(2):157-175.
Supplementary materials on GitHub

Simon Munzert and Peter Selb. 2017. Measuring Political Knowledge in Web-Based Surveys. An Experimental Validation of Visual Versus Verbal Instruments. Social Science Computer Review. 25(2): 167-183.
Supplementary materials on GitHub

Peter Selb and Simon Munzert. 2016. Forecasting the 2013 German Bundestag Election Using Many Polls and Historical Election Results. German Politics 25(1):73-83.

Michael Herrmann, Simon Munzert, and Peter Selb. 2016. Determining the Impact of Strategic Voting on Election Results. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A. 179(2):583-605.
Supplementary materials on GitHub
Post on LSE British Politics and Policy Blog

Julian Bernauer and Simon Munzert. 2014. Loyal to the Game? Strategic Policy Representation in Mixed Electoral Systems. Representation 50(1): 83-97.

Simon Munzert and Paul C. Bauer. 2013. Political Depolarization in German Public Opinion, 1980-2010. Political Science Research and Methods 1(1): 67-89.
Winner of the 2014 ALLBUS award for the best paper published using data from the German General Social Survey

Peter Selb, Michael Herrmann, Simon Munzert, Thomas Schübel, and Susumu Shikano. 2013. Forecasting Runoff Elections Using Candidate Evaluations From First Round Exit Polls. International Journal of Forecasting 29: 541-547.

Peter Selb and Simon Munzert. 2013. Voter Overrepresentation, Vote Misreporting and Turnout Bias in Postelection Surveys. Electoral Studies 32(1): 186-196.

Peter Selb and Simon Munzert. 2011. Estimating Constituency Preferences from Sparse Survey Data Using Auxiliary Geographic Information. Political Analysis 19(4): 455-470.
Winner of the 2014 DGfW award for the best paper published using data from the German Longitudinal Election Study

Other articles

Philipp Darius, Daniela Stockmann, Joanna Bryson, Luciana Cingolani, Rachel Griffin, Gerhard Hammerschmid, Maximilian Kupi, Haytham Mones, Simon Munzert, Rónán Riordan, Simona Stockreiter. 2023. Implementing Data Access of the Digital Services Act: Collaboration of European Digital Service Coordinators and Researchers in Building Strong Oversight over Social Media Platforms. Hertie School.

Simon Munzert, Myrto Papoutsi and Holger Nowak. 2021. Ein Jahr digitale Kontaktpersonennachverfolgung mit der Corona-Warn-App: Nutzung–Popularität–Verständnis. respondi AG-Hertie School. Data Science Lab.

Simon Munzert, Myrto Papoutsi and Holger Nowak. 2021. Nutzung von digitalen Tools zur Unterstützung von COVID-19-Kontaktverfolgung. respondi AG.

Simon Munzert and Dominic Nyhuis. 2020. Web Scraping. In SAGE Research Methods Foundations, edited by P. Atkinson, S. Delamont, A. Cernat, J.W. Sakshaug, and R.A. Williams.

Simon Munzert. 2014. Big Data in der Forschung! Big Data in der Lehre? Ein Vorschlag zur Erweiterung der bestehenden Methodenausbildung. Zeitschrift für Politikwissenschaft 24(1-2): 207-222.

Book chapters

Simon Munzert and Dominic Nyhuis. 2020. "Die Nutzung von Webdaten in den Sozialwissenschaften," in Handbuch Methoden der Politikwissenschaft, edited by Claudius Wagemann, Achim Goerres, and Markus Siewert. Heidelberg: Springer.

Simon Munzert. 2018. Auf dem Weg zu einer fundierten Softwareausbildung in der Politikwissenschaft, in Computational Social Science. Die Analyse von Big Data, edited by Andreas Blätte, Joachim Behnke, Kai-Uwe Schnapp, and Claudius Wagemann. Baden-Baden: Nomos, 379--402.

Susumu Shikano, Simon Munzert, Thomas Schübel, Michael Herrmann, and Peter Selb. 2014. Eine empirische Schätzmethode der Valenz-Issues auf der Basis der Kandidatenbeurteilung am Beispiel der Konstanzer Oberbürgermeisterwahl 2012. In: André Bächtiger, Eric Linhart, and Bernhard Kittel (eds.): Jahrbuch für Handlungs- und Entscheidungstheorie 8.

Book reviews

Simon Munzert. 2014. XML and Web Technologies for Data Sciences with R. by Deborah Nolan and Duncan Temple Lang. 2014. New York: Springer. Journal of Statistical Software 61: Book Review 1.

Work in progress

Simon Munzert, Anita Gohdes, Lukas Stoetzer, Will Lowe, Basak Cali, Marc Helbling, Rahsaan Maxwell, and Richard Traunmüller. ``Citizen Preferences in a Fundamental Rights Dilemma: Evidence from a Triage Experiment in Five Countries.''

Marc Helbling, Rahsaan Maxwell, Simon Munzert, and Richard Traunmüller. ``Does every life count the same? Evidence from a Triage Experiment.''

Andreas E. Murr and Simon Munzert. ``Forecasting Turnout at UK Elections.''

Simon Munzert. ``Measuring the Importance of Political Elites.''

Simon Munzert, Richard Traunmüller, Andrew M. Guess, Pablo Barberá, and JungHwan Yang. ``What should we be allowed to say? Citizens' Preferences for Online Hate Speech Regulation.''

Richard Traunmüller, Simon Munzert, Andrew M. Guess, Pablo Barberá, and JungHwan Yang. ``Free Speech and the Effect of Hate Speech Regulation on Preference Falsification. Experimental Evidence from the United States and Germany.''

Simon Munzert. Using Wikipedia Article Traffic Volume to Measure Public Issue Attention.

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