Simon Munzert

political science. surveys. data. web scraping. and all that.

Research

Over the past five years, I have pursued two connected research agendas: first, the measurement of public opinion in subpopulations using surveys and auxiliary data sources, second the use survey methodology to increase the value of Internet-based data sources about human behavior and preferences for the social sciences.

Publications

Books

Simon Munzert. 2015. Contributions to the Measurement of Public Opinion in Subpopulations. Konstanz: Universität Konstanz. PhD Thesis.

Simon Munzert, Christian Rubba, Peter Meißner, and Dominic Nyhuis. 2014. Automated Data Collection with R. A Practical Guide to Web Scraping and Text Mining. Chichester: John Wiley & Sons. Accompanying website: http://r-datacollection.com/

Articles in peer-reviewed journals

Sascha Göbel and Simon Munzert. “Political Advertising on the Wikipedia Market Place of Information.” Forthcoming at Social Science Computer Review.

Simon Munzert and Peter Selb. 2017. Measuring Political Knowledge in Web-Based Surveys. An Experimental Validation of Visual Versus Verbal Instruments. Social Science Computer Review. 25(2): 167-183. → Supplementary materials on GitHub.

Peter Selb and Simon Munzert. 2016. Forecasting the 2013 German Bundestag Election Using Many Polls and Historical Election Results. German Politics 25(1):73-83.

Michael Herrmann, Simon Munzert, and Peter Selb. 2016. Determining the Impact of Strategic Voting on Election Results. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A. 179(2):583-605. → Supplementary materials on GitHub → post on LSE British Politics and Policy Blog.

Julian Bernauer and Simon Munzert. 2014. Loyal to the Game? Strategic Policy Representation in Mixed Electoral Systems. Representation 50(1): 83-97.

Simon Munzert and Paul C. Bauer. 2013. Political Depolarization in German Public Opinion, 1980-2010. Political Science Research and Methods 1(1): 67-89. Winner of the 2014 ALLBUS award for the best paper published using data from the German General Social Survey.

Peter Selb, Michael Herrmann, Simon Munzert, Thomas Schübel, and Susumu Shikano. 2013. Forecasting Runoff Elections Using Candidate Evaluations From First Round Exit Polls. International Journal of Forecasting 29: 541-547.

Peter Selb and Simon Munzert. 2013. Voter Overrepresentation, Vote Misreporting and Turnout Bias in Postelection Surveys. Electoral Studies 32(1): 186-196.

Peter Selb and Simon Munzert. 2011. Estimating Constituency Preferences from Sparse Survey Data Using Auxiliary Geographic Information. Political Analysis 19(4): 455-470. Winner of the 2014 DGfW award for the best paper published using data from the German Longitudinal Election Study.

Other articles

Simon Munzert. 2014. Big Data in der Forschung! Big Data in der Lehre? Ein Vorschlag zur Erweiterung der bestehenden Methodenausbildung. Zeitschrift für Politikwissenschaft 24(1-2): 207-222.

Book chapters

Simon Munzert. Forthcoming. “Auf dem Weg zu einer fundierten Softwareausbildung in der Politikwissenschaft,” in Big Data: Große Möglichkeiten oder große Probleme?, edited by Joachim Behnke, Andreas Blätte, Kai-Uwe Schnapp, and Claudius Wagemann. Nomos Verlagsgesellschaft, Baden-Baden.

Susumu Shikano, Simon Munzert, Thomas Schübel, Michael Herrmann, and Peter Selb. 2014. Eine empirische Schätzmethode der Valenz-Issues auf der Basis der Kandidatenbeurteilung am Beispiel der Konstanzer Oberbürgermeisterwahl 2012. In: André Bächtiger, Eric Linhart, and Bernhard Kittel (eds.): Jahrbuch für Handlungs- und Entscheidungstheorie 8.

Book reviews

Simon Munzert. 2014. XML and Web Technologies for Data Sciences with R. by Deborah Nolan and Duncan Temple Lang. 2014. New York: Springer. Journal of Statistical Software 61: Book Review 1.

Work in progress

Peter Selb and Simon Munzert. “Examining a Most Likely Case for Strong Campaign Effects: Hitler’s Speeches and the Rise of the Nazi Party, 1927–1933.”

→ Supplementary materials on GitHub.

Simon Munzert. Using Wikipedia Article Traffic Volume to Measure Public Issue Attention.

Simon Munzert. Electoral Consequences of Voter Turnout in a Multiparty System.

Andreas Murr and Simon Munzert. Forecasting Turnout at UK Elections.

Simon Munzert. Measuring the Significance of Political Elites.

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